This looks like a rocky year ahead for $SPY and market if we don’t hold 200 SMA on weekly chart.

Back on December 13th I noticed the similarities of the crash of 2008/09 and posted on Twitter.

Sure enough we are starting to see the breakdown on the entire market. Im looking into the past to potentially see if the pattern repeats itself it looks like we could break the 200 SMA on weekly chart below and see a big downturn before we see the bottom.

In looking at the past to potentially see the pattern of the future it looks like we will test the 200 SMA on the weekly chart and then test the 50 SMA and if we break 200 SMA again watch out below.

The 50 SMA on the weekly is 274.55 which we broke earlier in December. The 200 weekly SMA is at 234.53 which we could hit potentially this week and then a bounce back up to 50 SMA and a further huge drop down like in 2008 where the support was below the support of 2003 of 67.10….This is proving we could see a very couple of ugly bearish market months to years ahead if the market doesnt break up above the 50 SMA on the weekly chart. I will be on watch and sharing my opinion weekly as it happens. Bottom line is the market is always right and go with the trend.

Below is another bigger picture view to see the support levels on the way down.

On the left is a blow up of support levels from the chart above. On Friday 12.21.18 we closed at 240.70. The royal blue are the support levels and the light blue is 200 Monthly SMA and the peacock blue is the 50 Monthly SMA to watch in the down trend. I would not be suprised if into Jan and Feb we go all the way down to 200 SMA of 154.

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