$SPY is teasing us….

$SPY is teasing us….

So we all thought yes the recovery is here. Great news with G20 and the new agreements to be enacted with Mexico and Canada and positive news about a tarrif halt for 90 days. That shot the SPY ETf up to that 281 resistance area premartket on Monday Dec 3rd. Yet there was no continuation to the upside to break out. We did break the brown monthly trend line to the upside and through the 200 day SMA. Yet there is more and more press of a recession coming, which leads me to believe this is going to end up in selling from investors on the bounce instead of influx of new money. It we break the 200 (light blue) and 50(dark blue) SMAs  then we will likely have the death cross of the averages indicating more of a downturn to come. We shall see if my post of a 236 are in January is correct.
I’m curious to see where this week ends because that 200 SMA is right near by at 275.99 and to me a close above will indicate the buyers want to see the market recover. A close below this week and the sellers are taking losses for maybe tax purposes and will buy back cheaper, but it might be a while before a strong uptrend. Will see where the market takes us.
For now I use Trade Ideas to find those Alpha stocks Like $AZO where on Earnings it broke out from the premarket highs and then ran up a nice $24 to a pullback and support for a secondary run before the market drop pulled it down. A close above 870  would lead me to believe that this will have a couple days to the upside if the market doesn’t drag it down.
 
 
 
I love hearing feedback from you. It makes my trading more personal and I like to hear how I can help you. If you have quest.ions or comments you can contact me here or on Profitly, Twitter (@jane_yul), Instagram (missairplanejane), LinkedIn and Facebook (@sugarairplanejane). carpeprofit@gmail.com or YouTube
My book is available at Amazon FMJ Trust Transition Trade: How Successful Traders Said It, Did It, and Lived It . As well as  Barnes and Noble, IndigoChapters,and more.
If you want a signed copy please go to the book site
The tool I use for scanning and alerting is Trade Ideas who offer an always free trading room.  15% Off First Month or First Annual – Promo Code CARPEPROFIT15
For my charts I use tradingview.com which offer free charting and paid services
Also Stocks To Trade that has a 1 week $1 trial 
For the fastest level 2 I have found I use Equityfeed.
This blog is for information purposes. I am not a registered securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. The information here is not intended as securities brokerage, investment or as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any security or fund.
 

Thanksgiving Week and the Stock Market is having a Black Friday Sale!

Thanksgiving Week and the Stock Market is having a Black Friday Sale!

That’s right! Isn’t it nice of the market to drop all the prices this week for Black Friday, Cyber Monday sale. It just so happens that the market is about to come down and test a trend line that has acted as support all year. The lower Trend line that has the A acted as support for the second time as a bounce spot. When we pull it back on the Weekly chart below it becomes more clear.
 This will now be the third test of the trend line this year. Just recently I learned about the Elliot Wave and to me this is looking like the SPY wants to drop further in this correction C wave to the Monthly 200 SMA of roughly 236. In looking at all the FAANG Stocks $FB, $APPL, $AMZN, $NFLX and $GOOGL are still dropping below the 200 SMA. In Fact more than 60% of the NYSE stocks are below the 200 SMA a good indication of a bearish trend. The furhther out that you pull the indexes you will see that there is a bigger trend of down for now. Also on the weekly chart we do not have the big volume coming in yet that indicates the buying is happening. Will definitely be watching the test of the trend line for a break or bounce.

What are your thoughts on the market sentiment?  Shot me your thoughts in the comment area.
The market as a whole isnt the only area for sales. There are a bunch of sales like everywhere else.
My watchlist is 20% off with Promo Code “THANKS” Through Cyber Monday.
The charts above are from Trading View and they are having their annual 60% off sale on their charting paid services.
Trade Ideas is offering 20% off with “GOODGRAVY”
I hope that these analysis posts are helping you to see the big picture of the market right now. This correction or bigger bear market is a normal occurance of the market to later set new highs. It will be determined in my opinion when we see that big candle like the first test of the trend line that indicates buying is happening. The volume dictates who is winning the bears or the bulls.
 
I love hearing feedback from you. It makes my trading more personal and I like to hear how I can help you. If you have quest.ions or comments you can contact me here or on Profitly, Twitter (@jane_yul), Instagram (missairplanejane), LinkedIn and Facebook (@sugarairplanejane). carpeprofit@gmail.com or YouTube
My book is available at Amazon FMJ Trust Transition Trade: How Successful Traders Said It, Did It, and Lived It . As well as  Barnes and Noble, IndigoChapters,and more.
If you want a signed copy please go to the book site
The tool I use for scanning and alerting is Trade Ideas who offer an always free trading room.  15% Off First Month or First Annual – Promo Code CARPEPROFIT15
For my charts I use tradingview.com which offer free charting and paid services
Also Stocks To Trade that has a 1 week $1 trial 
For the fastest level 2 I have found I use Equityfeed.
This blog is for information purposes. I am not a registered securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. The information here is not intended as securities brokerage, investment or as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any security or fund.
 

Is the Market in Recovery or Dead Cat Bounce? Bear or Bull to come….

Is the Market in Recovery or Dead Cat Bounce? Bear or Bull to come….

Tomorrow’s Midterm Elections will likely determine if we are in a recovery mode or setting up for a bigger downturn in the market. The Image above is the weekly Spy Chart. In pulling it back on a large time frame you can see that we hit the same support that the market hit back in Feb.
However in looking at the differences we have had more downward trending weeks from the top before a bounce and the bounce has taken from that support line to 50 SMA (blue average line) at 275 before pulling back. Another crucial note is that these candles following the bounce are remaining below the averages. There is more volume in this round and the bounce candle has less volume than the red weeks prior.
This analysis leads me to believe we are in a Dead Cat Bounce Phase to a bigger downtrend.  Another interesting fact is that we had the big FANG stocks reporting and almost all of them had selling after the earnings. Here are links to the Form 4s for $FB , $AMZN$AAPL, $NFLX and $GOOGL And in looking at their charts almost all of them except for AAPL are below their 200 SMA (light blue line). That does not seem like a healty market to me. FAANG.JPG
Now it could be a coincidence that the CEOs and COOs are selling or maybe their advisors are saying go ahead a lock in profits on before we see more of a dramatic drop. Pretty much each of the FAANG stocks dropped on day of earnings. If they gapped up and the market thought they would be a good investment I believe we would have seen more upside to them.
In my daily scan of stocks I am seeing many more 52 week lows on stocks and very few breakouts of lifetime highs. So I am leaning bearish until the market starts spitting out data to prove otherwise. Here is a link to check out the daily highs and lows.
There is always money flowing somewhere in the market and if you are limited to going long in a retirement account or cash account definitely check out the finviz.com Heat map of where the money is flowing. It will help you determine the strong sector for the day and or trend.
If you are newer to trading and only experiencing the bull trends here is a great free bear book to help you transition into a consolidation or downward market.
If you had my watchlist this week you could have been banking big time had ACIA run. There is a 20% off Thanksgiving day sale with THANKS promo code. If you opt for the Annual I will offer a complimentary 1 hour training session.
I love hearing feedback from you. It makes my trading more personal and I like to hear how I can help you. If you have quest.ions or comments you can contact me here or on Profitly, Twitter (@jane_yul), Instagram (missairplanejane), LinkedIn and Facebook (@sugarairplanejane). carpeprofit@gmail.com or YouTube
My book is available at Amazon FMJ Trust Transition Trade: How Successful Traders Said It, Did It, and Lived It . As well as  Barnes and Noble, IndigoChapters,and more.
If you want a signed copy please go to the book site
The tool I use for scanning and alerting is Trade Ideas who offer an always free trading room.  15% Off First Month or First Annual – Promo Code CARPEPROFIT15
For my charts I use tradingview.com which offer free charting and paid services
Also Stocks To Trade that has a 1 week $1 trial 
For the fastest level 2 I have found I use Equityfeed.
This blog is for information purposes. I am not a registered securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. The information here is not intended as securities brokerage, investment or as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any security or fund.

Are the FAANG stocks feeling the pain yet? $FB $AAPL $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL

Are the FAANG stocks feeling the pain yet? $FB $AAPL $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGL

This week has been brutal on the market. Last week we had FOMC meeting with the raising of rates and the indexes went wild. Then Sunday we had NAFTA signed and up we surged. Last week Facebook had the security Breach and the SEC filed against Musk.
All of this has brought volatilitu back in the market. We have seen the FAANG Stocks (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Google) pull back from breakouts. Should we be worried?
It is completely natural for the market to have a correction. When this happens it is a great time to paper trade shorting if you havent done it yet. There are still stocks that run like GTXI today, but it can be harder to go long when the market trend is down.
If you are newer to trading and only experiencing the bull trends here is a great free bear book to help you transition into a consolidation or downward market.
Above is the Facebook’s chart where you can see on the daily the stock is running down below the averages. Well below the 50 simple moving average and broke a support line today of 158.13 and set a new low of 156.22 since the Cambridge Analytica news. What is instock for FB  before earnings on the 30th? There are rumors that ad revenue is down and all the negative press has the stock beaten down. It looks like we might see 150 before 200 again as insiders have been selling and likely big houses now too as well as shorters
In my opinion next week will give us clarity if we have found a bottom if it can close aboce 162.5 on the daily chart. Until then feeling bearish like the market.
If you had my watchlist this week you could have been banking big time had FB short for two days in a row. There is a 20% off Columbus sale with OCEAN promo code. If you opt for the Annual I will offer a complimentary 1 hour training session.
I love hearing feedback from you. It makes my trading more personal and I like to hear how I can help you. If you have quest.ions or comments you can contact me here or on Profitly, Twitter (@jane_yul), Instagram (missairplanejane), LinkedIn and Facebook (@sugarairplanejane). carpeprofit@gmail.com or YouTube
If you are interested in receiving my morning watchlist email sign up here. It is affordable at $34.99 per month, which is roughly $1 a  day. Special Columbus day sale of 20% off with OCEAN as the discount code
My book is available at Amazon FMJ Trust Transition Trade: How Successful Traders Said It, Did It, and Lived It . As well as  Barnes and Noble, IndigoChapters,and more.
If you want a signed copy please go to the book site
The tool I use for scanning and alerting is Trade Ideas who offer an always free trading room.  15% Off First Month or First Annual – Promo Code CARPEPROFIT15
For my charts I use tradingview.com which offer free charting and paid services
Also Stocks To Trade that has a 1 week $1 trial 
For the fastest level 2 I have found I use Equityfeed.
This blog is for information purposes. I am not a registered securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. The information here is not intended as securities brokerage, investment or as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any security or fund.

The hottest sector is Cannabis right now.

The hottest sector is Cannabis right now.

If you have heard of $TLRY then you have heard of the exponential growth available in the cannabis/pot sector. The whole arena is just blossoming with opportunity.
Has the chance to invest passed you by snd you missed it? Probably not, but for TLRY it needs to come back to reality.
TLRY is the first cannabis grower that was listed on the US stock exchanges. Not only being the first but such a small public float made its valuation sky rocket. There are roughly 17 million shares available to be traded by the public.
If you have followed my blog posts in the past then you know that the low floats have potential to run from 17 to 300 in a couple weeks. As the demand grows so does the price. However as quickly as it goes up it can drop. In fact it webt from 150–>300–150 all in one day. When those major swings are happening its best to trade cautiously with a smaller position.
Does it mean since TLRY is on the way down from its parabolic move like Bitcoin to 20,000 that the sector lost its lustre. In my opinion the sector growth is not done, but Tilrays momentum move is over for the moment.
In fact I have a good 30% in my 401k in the cannabis sector diversified through different holdings. Some value that I see are the Hemp producing companies that then generate CBD for pharmaceutical companies.
The pharma companies or other partnerships then use the CBD oil for health benefits such as pain management, seizure prevention, cancer treatment and more.
Two of the companies I hold that I think have good longer term growth potential are HEMP on the US exchange and ACBFF. HEMP has one of the biggest Hemp processing facilities in the US and the have a Hemp University where they teach farmers about how they cab farm Hemp for profits.
ACBFF is also known as Aurora and they are a Canadian company. They are also big into the CBD production and have a global vision with their market. The reason why CBD can have a bigger reach globally is due to the fact it is legal in more locations than the THC ingredient of Pot. So the CBD partnership potebtial with a beverage company on the horizon could really cause massive growth. The CEO recently did an interview expressing that the comosny has spoken with 3 companies one of which is Coca Cola. No partnersgips signed yet, but one is in the horizon. They are also looking to potentially have a US IPO to come off the pink sheets in the next coming months.
These are just two in the big arena of Cannabis. Another third that just had their uplisting to the US exchanges from pink sheets is CGC or Canopy Growth. Since they had their uplisting they doubled in value as well.
The big day for the Cabadian companies is the first day of legalization in Canada of October 17, 2018. Will the value growth continue after this date? I think that it will, but the hype is definitely driving the stocks up now.
Is it too late to invest? In my opinion I think there is value underlying in the stocks mentioned above, however the ones that have more than doubled have high risk involved.
When a stock like TLRY opens at 17 and then becomes more valuable than 75% of the S&P and is traded at roughly 500 the earnings of the company it makes you wonder?
There are other blue chip stocks out there trading with high PE ratios, but 500-700 is a bit inflated for me. I prefer to stick with the ones where the growth potential is in the horizon instead of explosive move missed.
As always remember to trade with proper risk management and do your due diligence so as to nit get burned like those that bought TLRY at 300.
Other Cannabis Stocks that could be interesting
APHQF – Aphria
CGC- Canopy Growth
EVIO – Evio Labs
OGRMF – Organigram
SPRWF – Supreme Cannabis
I love hearing feedback from you. It makes my trading more personal and I like to hear how I can help you. If you have quest.ions or comments you can contact me here or on Profitly, Twitter (@jane_yul), Instagram (missairplanejane), LinkedIn and Facebook (@sugarairplanejane). carpeprofit@gmail.com or YouTube
If you are interested in receiving my morning watchlist email sign up here. It is affordable at $34.99 per month, which is roughly $1 a  day. Special Columbus day sale of 20% off with OCEAN as the discount code
My book is available at Amazon FMJ Trust Transition Trade: How Successful Traders Said It, Did It, and Lived It . As well as  Barnes and Noble, IndigoChapters,and more.
If you want a signed copy please go to the book site
The tool I use for scanning and alerting is Trade Ideas who offer an always free trading room.  15% Off First Month or First Annual – Promo Code CARPEPROFIT15
For my charts I use tradingview.com which offer free charting and paid services
Also Stocks To Trade that has a 1 week $1 trial 
For the fastest level 2 I have found I use Equityfeed.
This blog is for information purposes. I am not a registered securities broker-dealer or an investment adviser. The information here is not intended as securities brokerage, investment or as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy, or as an endorsement, recommendation or sponsorship of any security or fund.